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Sunday, November 15, 2015

Supporting France, Obama

For President Obama, the short-term response to the terrorist attacks in Paris was straightforward and relatively easy: The American military and intelligence agencies provided information to help French warplanes bomb Islamic State targets on Sunday in the group’s stronghold in northern Syria.

Determining the long-term response, however, may be exponentially harder. Even as Mr. Obama searched for ways to step up the war against the terrorist group, which has expanded its operations beyond its territory in Iraq and Syria, senior White House officials on Sunday again ruled out the introduction of substantial numbers of American ground troops.
The French airstrikes may have been a potent show of defiance, but it was not clear that they represented a major shift in the American coalition’s overall strategy. 

Before the attacks in Paris on Friday, the French confined the majority of their airstrikes against the Islamic State to targets in Iraq. With the strikes on Sunday, President François Hollande, who called the Paris attacks an “act of war” and vowed to be “merciless” against those responsible, made it clear that he would no longer be deterred by the border between Iraq and Syria.

But the Americans have been bombing on both sides of the border for more than a year with mixed results, and the recent entry of Russia, with its own air power, into Syria has not changed the overall picture. The emotional statements from France appeared to do little to fundamentally change Mr. Obama’s view of the high cost of drastically expanding the American role in Iraq and Syria.

And so, senior administration officials said, Mr. Obama is looking to do more of what he has already been doing and to do it better. The possibilities, they said, include more airstrikes, Special Operations raids, assistance to local allies and attacks against Islamic State targets outside Syria and Iraq, like the strike in Libya over the weekend.

“We don’t believe U.S. troops are the answer to the problem,” Benjamin J. Rhodes, the president’s deputy national security adviser, told reporters on Sunday at the Group of 20 meetings here in Turkey, where Mr. Obama consulted with other world leaders. “The further introduction of U.S. troops to fully re-engage in ground combat in the Middle East is not the way to deal with this challenge.”


The summit meeting here came less than 48 hours after gunmen and suicide bombers killed at least 129 people in simultaneous attacks across Paris, even as other challenges roiled international relations. Given its setting, just a few hundred miles from Syria, the meeting was already likely to focus on the Islamic State as well as the related refugee crisis that has engulfed Europe. Moreover, Mr. Obama was still grappling with Russia’s intervention in Ukraine and keeping an eye on the South China Sea, where China maritime claims put it at odds with its neighbors.

The Paris attacks clearly upended not only the summit meeting but also the administration’s view of the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or Daesh, and the range of its threat. A day before the attacks in the French capital, Mr. Obama said in a TV interview that the Islamic State had been contained in Iraq and Syria. 
At a meeting with his national security team on Saturday before leaving for Turkey, Mr. Obama gave orders to the nation’s intelligence agencies to overhaul their assessment of the group, given the attacks.

“This was a game changer,” said a senior intelligence official who, like other American officials, requested anonymity to discuss internal deliberations. “We have to look hard at what happened in Paris, at the trajectory of the group and the potential threat it poses to the entire international community.”
Intelligence analysts working over the weekend had already put aside Mr. Obama’s comment about the Islamic State being contained.

“This clearly shows ISIS is looking at an international level and is capable of carrying out large-scale attacks outside Iraq and Syria,” the intelligence official said. “There will be a greater sense of urgency in how we go about trying to combat these kinds of attacks. Paris shows that they can attack soft targets on any day, anywhere, including in any major American city.”

Under fire back home over the “contained” comment, White House officials rejected any suggestion that the administration had underestimated the threat posed by the Islamic State and said the president had been referring to success in halting territorial gains in Iraq and Syria.
“A year ago, we saw them on the march in both Iraq and Syria, taking more and more population centers,” Mr. Rhodes said on “This Week” on ABC. “The fact is, we have been able to stop that geographic advance and take back significant amounts of territory in both northern Iraq and northern Syria.”

In his only public comments here on Sunday, Mr. Obama vowed to stand with France, calling the massacre in Paris “an attack on the civilized world.” White House officials said Mr. Obama agreed with Mr. Hollande that the killings in Paris were an “act of war,” and they promised that the United States would deepen cooperation with French officials. Mr. Rhodes said a French two-star general was now stationed in the headquarters of United States Central Command, which is coordinating the American airstrikes in Syria and Iraq.

But officials were less clear about how far that cooperation would go. And while no one in the French government has yet said that France will take the next logical step and ask other NATO members to defend it under Article 5 of the NATO treaty, many experts on international security talked about the need for joint action. Mr. Hollande’s use of the phrase “act of war” complicated Mr. Obama’s deliberations.

Aides said the president had discussed the need for more cooperation with the Turkish president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, especially along Turkey’s border with Syria. And the last-minute addition of a meeting here between Mr. Obama and King Salman of Saudi Arabia was described as an effort to urge more support from the Saudis.

Mr. Obama also met with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, again broaching their longstanding disagreement about how to confront the Islamic State and resolve the civil war in Syria. The two spoke for 35 minutes at a reception, their first meeting since Russian planes began bombing targets inside Syria in an effort to bolster the government of President Bashar al-Assad, who Mr. Obama has said must step down.

American officials described the meeting as “constructive,” emphasizing that the two leaders agreed on the need for a cease-fire in Syria and a political transition to a new government. But Russian officials described the meeting in less glowing terms, saying that Mr. Obama and Mr. Putin remained at odds about how to achieve those goals.
“On tactics, the two sides are still diverging,” Yuri Ushakov, Mr. Putin’s foreign policy adviser, told reporters.

The intricate diplomatic picture complicated the administration’s options. With Russia and Iran also fighting the Islamic State but having different regional interests from the United States, American officials said they wanted to be sure that military action did not impair the shared diplomatic goal of ending the violence in Syria. 



Trending In Paris: Top 10 Paris Twitter Trends

Using Twitter to uncover trends in Paris shows what’s on the hearts and minds of Parisians one day after horrific terrorist attacks in and around Paris left more than 100 people dead and hundreds injured. According to Twitter, on Saturday, November 14, the top Paris trends included hashtags such as #UneBougiePourParis, which translates to “a candle in Paris,” representing the candles that Parisians are placing in their windows, as reported by NBC New York.

The publication noted a Facebook post calling for people in Paris to place a candle in their windows to show that the City of Light couldn’t be dimmed by terrorism.

“A light, a candle at every window. In this day of mourning, facing horror and grief, let’s show once more that we are here, standing up, together and united. We need to commemorate the memory of the dead, and send our thoughts and full support to the injured ones and their relatives. As night falls, let us light a candle at our windows. We are not afraid, we are together.”
Another popular Twitter hashtag coming out of Paris is #OnEstSolidaire, which seems to translate to English as meaning how can the world be united in solidarity if the members of the globe aren’t all on the same page.

La Marseillaise, the French National Anthem, is trending on social media because it is what French fans sang while leaving the Stade de France during the Paris attack, as seen in the viral YouTube video. With French soccer fans singing the French song, despite their fears about the terrorism, the videos of the events are getting lots of views.
#MessageDePaix stands for “message of peace,” and tweets containing that hashtag included inspiring quotes.

#TerrorismHasNoReligion trends worldwide

Terror attacks in Paris on Friday night left France and the entire international community in shock following the deaths of at least 129 people.
As ISIS militants claimed responsibility, thousands of people on Twitter began tweeting the hashtag #TerrorismHasNoReligion in response to those blaming Muslim groups for the Paris attacks.
The Twitter hashtag has been trending worldwide, with many joining social media conversations to defend Islam as a nonviolent faith.

Obama arrives in Turkey for G-20

President Barack Obama's talks with world leaders in Turkey this week have taken on new urgency following a series of horrific attacks in Paris carried out by the Islamic State group, sparking global anxiety about the militant group's reach.
The crisis in Syria, where the Islamic State group has taken root, was already high on the agenda at the meeting of 20 leading industrialized and emerging-market nations. But the violence in Paris that killed at least 129 people and injured 352 will dramatically change the dynamic of the talks in Antalya, Turkey, a seaside resort city just a few hundred miles from the Syrian border.
Obama arrived in Turkey Sunday morning after an overnight flight from Washington, and was greeted on the tarmac by Turkish officials and the U.S. ambassador. He was scheduled to discuss the terror attacks in a meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan before beginning broader discussions with Group of 20 leaders.
French President Francois Hollande said Islamic State militants were behind the attacks and the extremist group claimed responsibility Saturday. The White House said it had "no information to contradict the initial French assessment."
Obama's itinerary, which also includes stops in the Philippines and Malaysia, was not expected to be impacted by the terror attacks. There were also no immediate changes in his plans to travel to Paris in two weeks for a high-stakes climate conference, a meeting of world leaders that will require an enormous security presence.
Security is expected be extremely tight in Turkey as leaders gather for two days of talks in Antalya, where several suspected Islamic State militants were recently detained.
Ahead of Obama's talks in Turkey, Secretary of State John Kerry met in Vienna with his counterparts from Russia, Turkey and other nations with a stake in Syria. The diplomats agreed on a timeline for a political transition in Syria that is aimed at ending the country's 4 ½ year civil war, though key details — including the status of Syrian President Bashar Assad — remain unresolved.

France: Eiffel Tower goes dark

The Eiffel Tower stood dark in a symbol of mourning Saturday night as France struggled to absorb the deadliest violence on its soil since World War II: coordinated gun-and-suicide bombing attacks across Paris that left at least 129 people dead and 352 injured.
President Francois Hollande vowed that France would wage "merciless" war on the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), which claimed responsibility for the mayhem, as investigators raced to track down their accomplices and uncovered possible links to networks in Belgium and Syria.
Paris prosecutor Francois Molins said three groups of attackers, including seven suicide bombers, carried out the "act of barbarism" that shattered a Parisian Friday night.
He said the attackers in the Bataclan concert hall, where 89 people died, mentioned Syria and Iraq during their rampage. Of the hundreds wounded in the six attacks, 99 were in critical condition.
Seven attackers launched gun attacks at Paris cafes, detonated suicide bombs near France's national stadium and killed hostages inside the concert venue during a show by an American rock band -- an attack on the heart of the pulsing City of Light.
Ahsan Naeem, a 39-year-old filmmaker, said he's been to many of the places that were attacked Friday.
"I've seen dozens of gigs at the Bataclan. Eaten at the Petit Cambodge. Sat outside Le Carillon on so many nights," said Naeem, who has lived in Paris for seven years. "All those places will have been full of my people. My friends. My acquaintances." 
Late Saturday, a crowd of up to 250 people gathered for an impromptu candlelight vigil at the Place de la Republique, the site of a massive demonstration in the wake of the Charlie Hebdo killings earlier this year. Adrien Chambel, a 27-year-old law student, said the crowd was much sparser than in January. "You feel that people are petrified," Chambel said.
Hollande, who declared three days of national mourning and raised the nation's security to its highest level, called the carnage "an act of war that was prepared, organized, planned from abroad with internal help."
The president said France would increase its military efforts to crush ISIS. He said France - which is part of a U.S.-led coalition bombing suspected ISIS targets in Syria and Iraq and also has troops fighting Islamic militants in Africa -- "will be merciless toward the barbarians of Islamic State group."
ISIS claimed responsibility in an online statement in Arabic and French circulated by supporters. It was not immediately possible to confirm the authenticity of the claim, which bore the group's logo and resembled previous verified statements from the group.
The statement called Paris "the capital of prostitution and obscenity" and mocked France's air attacks in Syria and Iraq, saying France's air power was "of no use to them in the streets and rotten alleys of Paris."
A U.S. intelligence source told Milton investigators have so far seen no insider knowledge in the chatter or communications that is being intercepted to verify who was involved. While there have been people saying glowing things about the Paris attack, no one has revealed information about the attack that only the attackers would have knowledge of, the source said.
In New York, the Empire State Building went dark for a second night in sympathy for people of Paris, while One World Trade Center was lit with the colors of the French flag.

What should you call the terrifying organisation?

The Islamic State-Isis is a scary and much-discussed phenomenon, erasing borders, conquering vast areas of Iraq and Syria, massacring its enemies and beheading hostages in slick snuff and propaganda videos. Barack Obama calls it Isil. David Cameron loyally follows suit. Others refer to Isis or IS. Now Francois Hollande has renamed it Daesh. Confused as to how to negotiate this linguistic and political minefield? You might well be. 

This terminological conflict has deep historic and cultural roots. The group originated in 1999 as Jamaat al-Tawhid wal-Jihad – quite a mouthful. It got simpler in 2004 when its founder, a Jordanian called Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, pledged an oath to al-Qaida, then still being run by Osama bin Laden from his Pakistani hideout. Its Arabic name became Tanzim Qaidat al-Jihad fi Bilad al-Rafidayn (don’t ask!) – though that was shortened in English to al-Qaida in Iraq. But then it got more complicated. 

In 2006, under a man who now calls himself Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, it morphed into the Islamic State in Iraq (Isi). In April 2013, two years into the uprising against Bashar al-Assad, Isi bigged itself up as the Islamic State in Iraq and al-Sham (Al Dawla al-Islamyia fil Iraq wa’al Sham) and declared a Caliphate – a state for all Muslims. Al-Sham is the historic Arabic name for Syria, Lebanon, and (according to some authorities) Jordan and Palestine. This area is known in English (thanks to the antiquated French phrase for the “lands of the rising sun”) as the Levant. Isis is the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria. Isil is the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant: thus the moniker in Obama’s and Cameron’s briefing books. It’s the same transatlantic solidarity that had London and Washington referring to UBL (Usama Bin Laden) when everyone else used the more familiar OBL (Osama).


Opponents of the term Islamic State say it is neither Islamic nor a state: thus the suggestion of a group of British imams to Cameron that he use the expression “Un-Islamic State.” In a similar legitimacy-undermining vein Egypt’s leading Islamic authority, Dar al-Ifta, urged the media to use the rather heavy-handed QSIS: “Al-Qaida Separatists in Iraq and Syria.”
Daesh, now officially adopted by the French government, is the Arabic acronym for Al Dawla al-Islamyia fil Iraq wa’al Sham, (though it should, to be precise, really be rendered as Da’ish). But why the change? It was never golng to be easy for the French EIIL (l’Etat islamique de l’Irak et du Levant) to supplant the more widely used English ISIL or ISIS (cf Nato vs Otan, EU vs UE). And it may, suggested one French blogger, have been chosen for its “sonorité péjorative” (dèchedouchetache – to be broke, shower, spot). Hollande said he would be using the phrase “Daesh cutthroats”.
IS supporters, in any case, dislike the term Daesh as it does not spell out the crucial Islamic component. In the words of Simon Collis, the British Ambassador to Iraq: “Arabic speakers spit out the name Da’ish with different mixtures of contempt, ridicule and hostility. Da’ish is always negative.” It’s certainly entered the ever-adaptive Arabic language big time: in the plural form – “daw’aish” – it means bigots who impose their views on others.

Miners Sue South Africa's Deputy President

Miners injured and arrested during a 2012 strike in which at least 44 people were killed, most of them by police, are suing South Africa's deputy president, their lawyer said.
The 330 miners are suing Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa for 1 billion rand (about $70 million), said their lawyer Andries Nkome. Ramaphosa's characterization of the wage strike as a criminal act rather than a labor dispute contributed to police shooting the miners, he said.
"We believe that he should be held responsible," Nkome told The Associated Press. The suing miners asked lawyers to review the findings of a government-appointed commission that exonerated Ramaphosa, who was a non-executive director and shareholder of the Lonmin platinum mine at the time, Nkome said.
A police operation during the strike led to the shooting of 112 miners, killing 34 on Aug. 16 2012. At least 10 more people died in the weeks before, including policemen and security guards.
During the labor unrest in Marikana, a town in South Africa's North West province, Ramaphosa sent an email to executives describing the violence in the weeks before the shooting as "dastardly criminal acts" that required "concomitant action." In a statement, Ramaphosa said his email was taken out of context and that he urged officials to end the unrest that had resulted from the wage dispute.
The Deputy President instructed his lawyers to defend the action against him, Ramaphosa's spokesman said in a statement this week.
Ramaphosa is also the deputy president of the ruling African National Congress. He rose to prominence as a unionist and became a key figure during negotiations to end apartheid, according to the ruling party's website. Ramaphosa left politics to pursue private business, becoming one of South Africa's wealthiest black businessmen, with wide ranging investments, including McDonalds South Africa, according to Ramaphosa's company's website.