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Monday, November 7, 2016

US election polls and odds tracker: Latest results forecast as race for President reaches final few hours

With just hours to go before America goes to the polls to elect its 45th President, the race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton remains as close as well.
The investigations into Clinton's use of a private email server have now been concluded with no charges to be brought against the Democrat candidate. But the relevations last weekend have already done enough to give Trump momentum into the final week.
Based on polling data from RealClearPolitics, we have the latest state-by-state predictions and an estimate of the overall electoral college vote.

Voting split prediction

Number of electoral college votes

    
168
38
155
9
168
270 to winLast updated 17:31

Veteran broadcaster Sir Jimmy Young dies

The veteran broadcaster Sir Jimmy Young has died "peacefully at home", aged 95.
A spokesman for the former Radio 2 DJ said his wife Alicia was by his side when he passed away on Monday afternoon.
DATE IMPORTED:27 June, 2002Britain's veteran radio broadcaster Sir Jimmy Young (78) poses for photographs after receiving his knighthood at Buckingham Palace in London on June 27, 2002. Young was awarded the knighthood after 50 years on the air.
Image Caption:Sir Jimmy poses after receiving his knighthood at Buckingham Palace, aged 78
In a broadcasting career spanning almost 30 years, Sir Jimmy became known as the "housewives' choice" and counted prime ministers and the Queen among his many millions of faithful listeners.
The "funny, charming and kind" presenter interviewed every PM since Harold Macmillan, with Baroness Thatcher a guest no fewer than 14 times.
He was also known as much for his singing talents as for his radio broadcasting, making it to the top of the charts in 1954 with The Man From Laramie, and again in 1955 with Unchained Melody.
He was born Leslie Ronald Young in 1921, the only child of a miner in Cinderford, Gloucestershire.
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Sir Jimmy And Lady Young (alicia Plastow).
Sir Jimmy And Lady Young (alicia Plastow).
8 Feb 1980
Image Caption:Sir Jimmy with his wife Lady Young (Alicia Plastow) in 1980
His love of music came from his mother, who taught him to play the piano at the age of seven then went on to become a choirboy at Gloucester Cathedral before winning a scholarship to East Green Grammar School.
But his parents could not afford for him to continue his education and he left school to become a baker's boy.
After singing and playing piano on the club circuit he landed a record deal in 1949 after being spotted by a producer.
LBC radio presenter Iain Dale tweeted: "Much respect to Sir Jimmy Young ... the word 'legend' is overused, but not in his case. A true icon of radio."
Heart radio presenter Simon Beale tweeted: "Very sad to hear about Sir Jimmy Young. I had the privilege to record a 1-hour special with him in 2003. He was funny, charming & kind."

Two escaped Pentonville prisoners left dummies in their beds

Two prisoners have escaped from Pentonville prison in north London, the Ministry of Justice has confirmed.
They were discovered missing on Monday morning when jail staff found mannequins in their beds. 
It is believed the pair used diamond-tipped cutting equipment to break through cell bars before scaling the perimeter wall. 
A manhunt is now underway for James Whitlock, aged 31, and 28-year-old Matthew Baker. 
Police have warned the public not to approach the two convicts as they could become violent, but to call 999 if they see either of them. 
Baker was on remand awaiting sentencing after being found guilty two weeks ago of the attempted murder of a man at a flat in Dagenham.
He was due to be sentenced on Friday.


The entrance to Pentonville Prison in north London
Image Caption:The entrance to Pentonville Prison in north London
Whitlock, who has the word 'Tracy' tattooed on his body, was also on remand after being charged with conspiracy to burgle more than 19 ATMs between December 2015 and August 2016.
Mike Rolfe, from the Prison Officers' Association, told Sky News the escapees would have had help from outside, and equipment may have been sent in by drone. 
The Metropolitan Police said it was called to Pentonville in Islington at 11.44am on Monday. 
A spokeswoman from the Prison Service said: "Public protection is our top priority and we take escapes from custody extremely seriously. 
"We are working closely with the police and are urgently investigating the matter." 
Last month a 21-year-old inmate, Jamal Mahmoud, died after being stabbed in Pentonville, while two others were injured in the same attack.
A convicted murderer, John Massey, escaped the north London jail in 2012 after managing to climb a wall using a rope made out of bed sheets, before being recaptured after 48 hours on the run. 


The inside of Pentonville Prison in north London
Image Caption:Pentonville is a Victorian jail that opened in 1842
The category B Victorian prison, which opened in 1842, holds more than 1,200 men.
The former Justice Secretary, Michael Gove, described Pentonville last year as "the most dramatic example of failure" within the prisons estate. 
Shadow justice minister Yasmin Qureshi said: "The past 24 hours have provided yet more evidence of the crisis in our prison estate which has developed under this Tory government.
"The government must act immediately to make sure our prisons are safe and secure." 
Last week, Justice Secretary Liz Truss disclosed a package of  measures aimed at reforming prisons. 
The strategy includes employing 2,500 new prison officers and "no fly zones" to stop drones dropping drugs and other contraband into prisons.
Figures show in 2015-16 there were two escapes from prisons, neither of which were still at large. 
A report by the Ministry of Justice earlier this year said escapes are "rare" and "taken very seriously". 

Hillary Clinton cleared over emails - but what is the damage?

James Comey has effectively said "nothing to see here" - but 12 days ago he made the world watch as he reignited the Hillary Clinton email story, dropping a political hand grenade into the closing weeks of this election. 
The headlines were explosive - the emails it would seem are not. But the director of the FBI changed the way the race was run.
The Democrats were caught off guard.
Instead of ending her campaign with a positive message of how she wanted to lead the country and who she would help, Mrs Clinton, under pressure in the polls, focused on her opponent's weaknesses as her surrogates waged war on Mr Comey.
It was a turbulent few days that dominated the political conversation.


The letter from James Comey confirming no criminal case against Clinton
Image Caption:The letter from James Comey confirming no criminal case against Clinton
Donald Trump was given a lifeline, his team rejoicing in their 11th-hour gift.
It gave them fuel to focus his message. 
There was already a deep well of suspicion around Mrs Clinton's trustworthiness. Now he had a closing argument.
He's lost that weapon, but the FBI investigation may have already inflicted serious harm on his opponent.
The Democrats' nominee made no mention of the news after it broke. At a rally in Cleveland, she tried to reshape her closing pitch, moving away from slamming her rival and towards focusing on her vision for America.
But Mr Trump refused to let go. In Sterling Heights, Michigan, he swiftly poured doubt on the conclusion, telling the crowd: "You can't review 650,000 emails in eight days."
That number was in fact never confirmed and the speed of the review suggests there were far fewer. But his claims of a "rigged system" have caught fire among his followers. 
The fact that the FBI has found no case to answer will likely only drive more claims of a conspiracy - and the dust is unlikely to settle by 8 November. 
If Mr Trump wins, some Democrats will hold Mr Comey responsible. If Mrs Clinton clinches it, she may always blame him for how close she came to a political disaster. 
A vague letter made a dirty race a lot darker. That race will soon be over. The fallout from this saga may take a lot longer. 




Hillary Clinton emails: How FBI verdict affects US election

It was much ado about nothing, but it certainly amounted to something. 
While FBI Director James Comey, in effect, said "never mind" with regards to Hillary Clinton's emails, for the past two weeks the story has dominated the political conversation, and Democrats have paid a price. 
While Mrs Clinton's standings in the polls have stabilised a bit, talk of a possible Clinton rout are a distant memory and many of Democrats running on the ballot alongside Mrs Clinton have seen their standing diminished.
As the campaign comes to a close, the Clinton campaign will likely tout these results and try to focus back on its closing message. Chances are Donald Trump will continue to accuse Mrs Clinton of corruption, and he has already started once again alleging that the FBI is rigging the system to cover up for the former secretary of state.
With only two days until voting, it's more than likely that the dust kicked up by this story won't have fully settled by the time Americans head to the polls.
When determining the political fallout of this latest development, it's worth remembering that the race between Mr Trump and Mrs Clinton was already tightening in the days leading up to the first Comey letter. Surveys taken after the revelation indicated that few Americans considered the story grounds for changing their vote. The divide between the two candidates is simply too great to allow much ticket-switching at this point.
What the story did do was knock Mr Trump out of the headlines for over a week, giving him space to bring disaffected Republicans back into the fold. It also prevented Mrs Clinton from ending the campaign on a positive message and increased negative perceptions of her, which will make it harder for her to govern if she is elected.
Once this election is in the rear-view mirror, there will have to be a lot of soul-searching within the FBI and the media about how this story has played out and been covered. Following Mr Comey's original letter, the nation's top law-enforcement became a constant source of leaks, as internal factions and disputes spilled into public view. 
Many pundits and analysts speculated that there would be no way Mr Comey would release the letter so close to the election unless Mrs Clinton's situation was truly dire. Those conclusions proved unfounded. 
If Mr Trump wins, many will attribute it to Mr Comey's actions and subject him to withering criticism. They will point to the fact that he disregarded longstanding Justice Department policy of restraint when it comes with the release of possibly inflammatory information in the months before a general election.
If Mrs Clinton prevails, she likely will bear a grudge that is difficult to let go. The Clintons have long memories. If the tensions between the Obama Justice Department and the FBI have been high, they will only get higher. 
Either way the FBI director will have quite a mess to clean up.

Sunday, November 6, 2016

Outages Hit Wikileaks, Twitter

Twitter's website briefly went down early Monday morning, shortly after Wikileaks reported a cyber attack on its email publication servers.
Twitter has not confirmed the outage, but websites that track its servers' activity said that an outage hit the social media website and lasted for a few minutes ending around 1:30 a.m. Monday.
Wikileaks posted a message to its Facebook account claiming an ongoing denial-of-service attack on its servers.
"We are still under a DoS attack on our e-mail publication servers and it appears that Twitter is down as well, we are unable to confirm if this is an attack on twitter at this time," the post read.

Egypt's economy: 'People are tired'

Egypt has raised energy prices by nearly 50%. It comes a day after floating the country's currency as part of austerity measures aimed at securing a $12bn IMF loan. 
The government says it is needed for long-term economic growth, but the moves have caused heightened anxiety among ordinary people.
Here Egyptians explain how they are affected by the measures.