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Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Leaked memo claims there is still no Government plan for Brexit

The Government has no Brexit plan and will not have a strategy for six months because of a split in the Cabinet and lack of Civil Service fire power, a leaked document seen by Sky News claims.
It says that despite discussions, nearly six months after the Brexit vote "no common strategy has emerged" and this is "in part because of the divisions within the Cabinet".
In short, it suggests, Theresa May has got little further than saying "Brexit means Brexit".
A Government spokesman said Downing Street does not recognise the claims made in the document.
According to the leaked memo, which has been drawn up by an unnamed consultant, Whitehall has 500 Brexit projects and will need as many as 30,000 civil servants to work on them.
Theresa May's cabinet
Image Caption:There is a Cabinet split that is hampering Brexit, the document claims
However, it says the Chancellor Philip Hammond does not plan to provide funding for the civil service to grow its Brexit capacity and capability.
And it warns that when it comes to Brexit negotiations big businesses like Nissan could "point a gun at the Government's head".
The consultant says the Cabinet split is between the "three Brexiteers" - Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson, International Trade Secretary Liam Fox and Brexit Secretary David Davis - on the one side and Mr Hammond and Business Secretary Greg Clark on the other.
And the document, circulated among civil servants, warns that the Prime Minister is "rapidly acquiring the reputation of drawing in decision and details to settle matters herself - which is unlikely to be sustainable."
Boris Johnson has said Mr Trump's election victory is a 'great opportunity for the UK'
Image Caption:Boris Johnson is one of the three Brexiteers
According to the consultant, the Government's decision to appeal against the High Court decision that Mrs May doesn't have the power to trigger Article 50, the formal EU divorce process, is to stop the Conservative Party from splitting.
It says the appeal is "about avoiding any more public debate than necessary because it will expose splits within the predominantly 'remain' Conservative MPs and intensify the pressure from predominantly 'leave' constituency parties".
The document says all Whitehall departments have developed a "bottom up" plan of what Brexit could be", but that "this falls considerably short of having a 'Government plan for Brexit'."
And it adds that the failure to put together a Brexit plan means senior civil servants will "feel compelled to present high level plan(s) to avoid further drift".
It says "departments are struggling to come up to speed on the potential Brexit effects on industry" and there is fragmentation because certain departments are trying to guard areas, such as the Treasury and financial services.
However, one of the biggest problems is Whitehall's inability to carry out any Brexit arrangements quickly because of a lack of fire power, the document says.
Philip Hammond is being urged to ditch further income tax breaks
Image Caption:The Chancellor is on the other side of the split from Mr Johnson, Mr Davis and Dr Fox
It says that one department "estimates that it needs a 40% increase in staff to cope with its Brexit projects".
The release of the damaging document, which was first reported by The Times, will bolster recent key criticisms from Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the SNP, namely that the Government does not have a Brexit plan.
MPs from all parties have sought to force the Government to put its plans on the table ahead of going into negotiations with the EU.
However, despite this, the PM's "over-riding objective" is to stop the party from splitting, the document says.
It says an early General Election is a "last resort" for three reasons: the Conservatives don't stand to benefit from the boundary changes until 2019, the Fixed Term Parliament Act makes it more difficult and it may help distract from Brexit.
But Transport Secretary Chris Grayling told Sky News it was not a Government memo and he didn't know where it came from.
He said: "Well I don't know where it came from. It's certainly not a Government report and I certainly haven't seen evidence and I sit on the Cabinet Committee that is planning the Brexit process. I haven't seen any evidence of the kind of splits discussed.
"This is not a report we commissioned. It is not a report we have seen. It is not something we recognise."

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